tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post8269114920666905838..comments2023-03-29T02:18:25.786-07:00Comments on 2013 Triple Crown Trail: 2012 KY Derby TrailBrent Austin Neikirkhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13444727189908906417noreply@blogger.comBlogger69125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-36533749737385554472013-04-09T19:18:26.350-07:002013-04-09T19:18:26.350-07:00Ok guys, sorry I haven't been able to post any...Ok guys, sorry I haven't been able to post anything, been really busy. But yes, I am excited for this year as there are some very nice horses heading to the derby. Off the top of my head, I like Verrazano, Orb, Revolutionary, Will Take Charge and Normandy Invasion, but I know there are several more that I could add to this list. So here we go again!! I'm getting Derby fever!!!Brentnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-39744846132876091622013-04-08T09:10:45.280-07:002013-04-08T09:10:45.280-07:00I can't stand the suspense.... Let's get ...I can't stand the suspense.... Let's get 2013 chatter going!!! Briannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-88149435353395062742013-04-04T11:25:27.326-07:002013-04-04T11:25:27.326-07:00Let's get the 2013 chatter started!!!! 1 mont...Let's get the 2013 chatter started!!!! 1 month to go!!!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-16736483170505673762012-05-31T17:56:57.566-07:002012-05-31T17:56:57.566-07:00My Picks for the 144th running of the Belmont Stak...My Picks for the 144th running of the Belmont Stakes<br /><br />$1 Superfecta box<br /><br />ATIGUN<br />DULLA<br />IHA<br />PAYNT<br />SL<br />URLVnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-60857184827370793112012-05-19T06:58:09.054-07:002012-05-19T06:58:09.054-07:00Yeah, I don't think there's much to it. I ...Yeah, I don't think there's much to it. I like my guy Bode and CC, IHA and WTDW. They are the best horses, but it wouldn't surprise me if DNB showed up somewhere in the mix. Everyone is hopping on the Bode bandwagon now lol.Brentnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-90865579607281536332012-05-18T04:31:38.654-07:002012-05-18T04:31:38.654-07:00No Preakness Chatter??No Preakness Chatter??Briannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-59910758013324399092012-05-14T06:39:29.862-07:002012-05-14T06:39:29.862-07:00So far I only like the Top 4 returning from the De...So far I only like the Top 4 returning from the Derby.. IHA, Bode, WTDW and CC. Wouldn't use anyone else in my top 2 spots.<br /><br />Any idea where to find pace figures for all the newcomers? Prekaness page isn't quite as accomodating as the Derby page.Briannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-86048075899927829482012-05-10T04:41:29.741-07:002012-05-10T04:41:29.741-07:00Yeah, obviously we don't know for sure who is ...Yeah, obviously we don't know for sure who is in the race yet, but based on what I've seen, none of the newcomers jumps out at me. Bafferts Paynter could be in there, but he's got early speed, so you probably won't see both him and Bode. I'd consider using the top 4 or 5 finishers from the Derby in the top spots, and then maybe a few newcomers to round out the bottom. So far though, even though it'll be a full gate, I'm not impresssed by it.Briannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-26014391908270003962012-05-09T16:46:53.769-07:002012-05-09T16:46:53.769-07:00I know man, the Zayat horses are killin' me! h...I know man, the Zayat horses are killin' me! haha! I had Bode, Nehro and Pioneerof the nile and they were all 2nd. Oh well, that's horse racing. I did throw IHA back in cause he scared me and I was right about some and wrong about others like Alpha, CC didn't have a bad race tho and DNB didn't do much. I did hop off of Gem which was good, but at the same time I hopped off of WTDW. If it weren't for that and keying Bode, I had the super, but we can if, if, if all day long on that race, lol! If Bode would have slowed to a :46 and a 1:10, I think he would have gotten it tho, but that's not the way it went. On to the Preakness!!!<br /><br />Right now, if they run, my early picks are Bode, Union Rags, IHA and CC. I also like Dullahan coming into this one, but we'll see. That's my first inclination. Obviously, I'm subject to change my mind after I see who's in it and how they're doing coming up to the race. Looks like it could be a good one!Brentnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-43394164158999824822012-05-09T10:19:23.044-07:002012-05-09T10:19:23.044-07:00Ok..so after a bad beat in the Derby...What better...Ok..so after a bad beat in the Derby...What better to cure the hangover, but a Preakness score. You ready???Briannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-67570509707884103332012-05-07T10:12:06.766-07:002012-05-07T10:12:06.766-07:00Tough Beat. Hard to say Bode wasn't the best ...Tough Beat. Hard to say Bode wasn't the best horse in the race.<br /><br />Two years in a row you picked #2Briannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-66641881186963829942012-05-05T13:42:51.016-07:002012-05-05T13:42:51.016-07:00After painstakingly analyzing this great 138 field...After painstakingly analyzing this great 138 field, I'm going to play these 7 horses...Bode, UR, Dullahan, CC, DNB, Alpha and IHA<br /><br />I think Bode wins 138!!<br /><br />My super bet:<br />6/4,5,8,10,19/4,5,8,10,11,19/4,5,8,10,11,19Brentnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-67747233341392650982012-05-05T09:21:42.136-07:002012-05-05T09:21:42.136-07:00How about some derby selections? Many of us are wa...How about some derby selections? Many of us are waiting for your selections.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-56136446864658504752012-05-05T07:03:18.260-07:002012-05-05T07:03:18.260-07:00Ok, Race Day, and I've settled on Keying both ...Ok, Race Day, and I've settled on Keying both UR and Bode in the Super w/ a mess of horses around them. They just seem like the two best horses in the field. Now they just need the trip!<br /><br />Any thoughts on track condition impact?Briannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-60884276591722010732012-05-04T09:15:45.208-07:002012-05-04T09:15:45.208-07:00I don't think it matters much that IHA has bee...I don't think it matters much that IHA has been the most energetic in the morning. Some horses are lazy in the morning, but run well in the afternoon/evening and others are like IHA and work good in the morning. So either way I don't think it matters much there. <br />In one of my supers I'm going to key Bode for the win and then play like 3 horses in 2nd, 4 in the 3rd slot and 5 in the 4th spot. I hit the super in '08 by doing thst with Big Brown. Paid me just under $30,000, NO JOKE!!! My ticket may look something like this:<br /><br />6/4,5,8/4,5,8,10/4,5,8,10,13<br /><br />I don't have anything set in stone yet.<br /><br />Your top 4 looks good. Though, I'm still not sure about UR now that he didn't get the greatest pp draw. I might take a stand against him. And Gem does scare me so I might add him in somewhere. I will say that I might knock Alpha down a bit cause he drew the 11 post which means he goes in first along with the 1 DLL and Alpha doesn't like the gate and might expend a lot of energy waiting in there that long. And yes, I like CC a lot cause I think the distance will help him out. The fact that his trainer says he doesn't like crowds of horses worries me a bit though. We'll see what happens! CAN'T WAIT!!!Brentnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-67070373193953127332012-05-04T04:27:46.201-07:002012-05-04T04:27:46.201-07:00HERE WE GO!!!!!
I don't think any horse was r...HERE WE GO!!!!!<br /><br />I don't think any horse was really hurt or helped dramatically by the post position, but I agree, if I had to choose one, it would be IHA. That being said, all On-Site reports, have said all week he's the most energetic horse every day. Does that bode well for him???<br /><br />What are your thoughts on keying 1 horse? Or even 2 horses?<br /><br />My top 4 win contenders are the chalk: UR, BODE, DULLAHAN, and GEM. Thoughts? Although I think CC has a better chance to hit the board than GEM and BODE. He's just so consistent. Does that make sense?Briannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-25360248119955319692012-05-03T07:44:28.189-07:002012-05-03T07:44:28.189-07:00Ok, pp draw is done, ml odds made and we have 2 da...Ok, pp draw is done, ml odds made and we have 2 days to go!! I have to say, I REALLY REALLY like my top 7 horses right now. I think IHA in post #19 will have to use up more energy early in order to get into good position which, if you look at his brisnet figs, he doesn't normally do that and has big lp figs. Gem does scare me a bit and he's a wildcard for me, but I'll take CC at 12-1 over Gem's 6-1 ml all day long!!! I like how my top 7 horses have worked, I like their pp and I have analyzed their figs and like them as well especially when this should be a hot paced race. I don't think I'll be changing much of anything. I might add Gem to some ticket, but I REALLY don't like his ml odds.Brentnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-38594057905019017692012-05-02T04:55:09.418-07:002012-05-02T04:55:09.418-07:00Brent- I think Bode and UR on top is most likely....Brent- I think Bode and UR on top is most likely. I'm afraid to leave Dullahan out, as Romans is due, and he really seems to think the distance is gonna favor his horse. I'm more concerned with who to leave off the ticket... I don't want to have some 40-1 bomber come from out of the clouds and blow things up like a Make Music for Me did.Briannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-63155926718982919742012-05-01T07:54:02.488-07:002012-05-01T07:54:02.488-07:00I AM serious, Brian. And there are a few of my clo...I AM serious, Brian. And there are a few of my close friends and family that know that, but no I don't get paid professionally, though I've heard several times that I should. I'm starting to back off of CC for the win as well and Dullahan for that matter. Reasons being, CC's trainer said that he doesn't like Crowds of horses and he'll be getting a big dose of that in the Derby and he has been a lil erratic in the stretch in his races, so that concerns me about him for the win spot, but not dismissing him for 2nd, 3rd...And I wonder if Dullahan is just a better turf/poly horse. Hasn't shown much on dirt and his last work at CD wasn't anything special. So, I might put a ticket together that has Bode and UR for the win and then the others in the 2nd, 3rd and 4th slots. Thoughts?<br /><br />Thanks, EZGR89. We're trying to put a winning formula together!:)..The first Derby that I really remember was '89, I was 8 1/2 yrs old. I was hooked after that and the times I spent at Keeneland as a kid. What a great sport with some of the most beautiful animals in the world. Love it!!Brentnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-2057365708836121782012-04-30T19:28:50.185-07:002012-04-30T19:28:50.185-07:00Brian & Brent.....u make some excellent points...Brian & Brent.....u make some excellent points and cogent observations. I have been following the great thoroughbreds since my fav...Easy Goer in 89.<br />Of course like Empire Maker who is fast becoming a great modern sire {Grace Hall as well as Bode} he did not smell the roses but romped in the <br />Belmont. Great stamina from the Unbridled line. He was my first winner. <br />I too have honestly selected 8 Derby winners since that time so my % is not quite as good as yours. I particularly enjoyed your repeated refrains re: not dismissing UR. that would be a mistake as HE CAN GET THE 1.25m. He along with Bode appear to be very special indeed. U r right in that the post draw, pace, & trip figure so prominently in this cavalry charge we call the Derby. I'm sticking with the ragster BUT BODE DOES SCARE ME. EZGR89.EZGR89noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-6136161461528717722012-04-30T16:03:30.767-07:002012-04-30T16:03:30.767-07:00Are you serious???
Does anyone else know that??? ...Are you serious???<br /><br />Does anyone else know that??? And why aren't you getting paid professionally?!?!? Or....are you, and this is your alias??? :-)<br /><br />No, that's incredible! Congrats..and KEEP IT UP!!!! I like all of our top 4. If I had to drop one from the win poistion it would be CC, just based on turn of foot, but I really hope the Draw helps clear things up for us.Briannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-87175647935988024972012-04-30T15:38:01.650-07:002012-04-30T15:38:01.650-07:00I've had a decent record, since '00, for p...I've had a decent record, since '00, for picking the Derby winner. Had FuPeg, Monarchos (was at the Derby for those 2), Funny Cide, Smarty, Barbaro, Street Sense, BB, Super Saver...missed on War Emblem, Giacomo, MTB and AK. 67% is not badBrentnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-41580841583114948432012-04-30T14:51:19.135-07:002012-04-30T14:51:19.135-07:00Love it!!! He's my pick to win!!Love it!!! He's my pick to win!!Brentnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-22466726756904112712012-04-30T14:06:30.373-07:002012-04-30T14:06:30.373-07:00Cool..Thanks! Check this out.. Best video I'...Cool..Thanks! Check this out.. Best video I've seen of Bode!!! That got me excited.... http://www.zayatstables.com/gobodego.htmlBriannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5123812571831095619.post-82649691971611214212012-04-30T13:58:23.905-07:002012-04-30T13:58:23.905-07:00LOL! That's funny! I had Funny Cide pegged in ...LOL! That's funny! I had Funny Cide pegged in that one and made some people some money that day and I also had the tri with Smarty/Lion Heart and Imperialism, no joke!! But yeah, I can see a similar pace to '03 more than '04, don't think Trinniberg and/or Hansen slowing it down that much and getting away with it like Lion Heart did. <br />I used to like Sabercat and could see him running late and not sure about Mark Valeski, but put it this way, I think our top ones are better than these. PP draw should help to sort out some of these if you're having a lil trouble. I mean, I have 10-12 horses that could be in the top 4, but there's no way I can manage a ticket like that, lol! I always try to get it down to 6 horses, but this year there's some real talent, so I'm trying 7, I guess. Might even do 8. Really tough, yet exciting!!Brentnoreply@blogger.com